Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.608908 3.839036 4.086035 4.372607 4.698222 5.059503 5.494690
2025-03-09 3.202535 3.499697 3.835466 4.248427 4.750704 5.353203 6.149608
2025-03-16 2.850597 3.175683 3.557067 4.047515 4.677629 5.485611 6.649228
2025-03-23 2.645191 3.001126 3.434114 4.016370 4.808721 5.903018 7.650268
2025-03-30 2.457203 2.829658 3.296568 3.949009 4.883937 6.269751 8.732731
2025-04-06 2.282303 2.659507 3.143955 3.842797 4.889818 6.544962 9.816721
2025-04-13 2.115746 2.487331 2.973379 3.692025 4.807754 6.669319 10.722999
2025-04-20 2.032379 2.417853 2.934748 3.725645 5.018127 7.358819 13.358251
2025-04-27 1.962551 2.360960 2.907969 3.773474 5.263737 8.214999 17.509330
2025-05-04 1.912893 2.327661 2.911263 3.868303 5.615043 9.467697 25.914878
2025-05-11 1.850547 2.271999 2.876613 3.897347 5.854632 10.621043 39.983006
2025-05-18 1.776173 2.194387 2.802640 3.851291 5.937657 11.437979 62.136004
2025-05-25 1.684549 2.091922 2.691165 3.742651 5.902309 12.025176 109.472965
2025-06-01 1.616490 2.020393 2.623099 3.704850 6.022079 13.303822 942.916591
2025-06-08 1.538133 1.929663 2.518805 3.590467 5.945535 13.858593 NaN
2025-06-15 1.491416 1.883688 2.482947 3.600183 6.177150 16.111079 NaN
2025-06-22 1.441330 1.829937 2.430640 3.572672 6.313700 18.292011 NaN
2025-06-29 1.388057 1.768710 2.361999 3.505702 6.331559 19.982295 NaN
2025-07-06 1.330941 1.699106 2.275392 3.394388 6.202120 20.556467 NaN
2025-07-13 1.304501 1.675619 2.264784 3.436821 6.537406 26.237828 NaN
2025-07-20 1.281347 1.655984 2.259221 3.489365 6.932982 36.032434 NaN
2025-07-27 1.265391 1.646760 2.270872 3.581002 7.512394 61.130653 NaN
2025-08-03 1.241718 1.623984 2.256901 3.614078 7.910654 111.594165 NaN